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Journal of Public Administration (JOPA)

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Finding Mont Fleur via Singapore : what role for scenario planning in South African public policy?

Author: Marumo L. Nkomo

Affiliation: University of Cape Town

Source: Journal of Public Administration, 2021-07-06 17:19:09

Accreditation: Department of Higher Education and Training(DHET)



Abstract: Finding Mont Fleur via Singapore : what role for scenario planning in South African public policy?

Futurists and scenario planning practitioners the world over revere the Mont Fleur Scenario exercise. The said project took place at the dusk of pre-democratic South Africa, bringing together leading figures from divergent stakeholder groups whose interests were at times diametrically opposed. Mont Fleur contributed to the consensus necessary for South Africa's vaunted peaceful transition from minority rule to constitutional democracy. Singapore, to its benefit, continued the Mont Fleur legacy by institutionalising the practice of scenario planning in its government processes. In South Africa, this has not occurred, with scenario planning being used in an ad hoc and peripheral fashion. This article argues that scenario planning is well suited to public policy in South Africa and that lessons could be learned from the Singaporean model.